There is no burden of proof Shag we are on LVC I am not a defendant. We are expressing views on Gay marriage
I assume you are trying to imply that my argument is a false analogy. However that is not the case in regards to my argument to counter your claim that the burden of proof dictated by the precautionary principle is a "catch 22".
My argument assumes that you were claiming that that the burden of proof I justified through the precautionary principle in regards to gay marriage was basically impossible to meet.
The analogy of a criminal court is valid because the area where the two are being compared is similar. Namely, in regards to the burden of proof both are required to meet, and how human nature can effect that burden of proof, necessitating a much higher burden of proof in the opposite direction. That is the key area where both parts of the analogy need to be similar for the analogy to be valid, and they are. Any other similarities or lack thereof are irrelevant to the validity of the analogy.
And how can you claim that there is "no burden of proof"?! If there is no burden of proof then there is no argument or debate. A burden of proof is inherent and implied in any debatable disagreement.
The question then comes down to where the burden of proof should lay. Both sides want the burden of proof in their favor, but there is a logical place for the burden of proof and illogical places for that burden.
ah something we can agree on [That any change at a governmental level has the potential for both positive and negative consequences; both foreseeable and unforeseeable.]
Then how can you not logically put the burden of proof against change in order to avoid unnecessary reckless change that causes irreversible and severe damage to society?
How will you do a cost/benefit analysis on Gay marriage?
That is part of my point; you can't do a full cost/benefit analysis on a proposed change at this level (maybe I didn't make that clear, sorry). That is why you approach that change with caution and logically set the burden of proof against that change.
You can look at some of the potential costs and benefits, but not all. That is why places where that proposed change has been tried are very relevant to the discussion.
The only burden of proof I would think is when you make a statement back it up with link. Again, we are on LVC sharing opinions on gay marriage, dont try to make this harder then it needs to be.
I am not trying to make anything harder. I am trying to keep it as rational and reasonable as possible; keeping out emotional thinking and irrational fallacious arguments.
You can't demand a link for every statement a person makes that you don't agree with. No one is that fastidious (and this is coming from one of the most fastidious people on this forum).
Besides, what if they got their info from a book, or other non-internet source? They cannot meet your demand for a link, and thus cannot meet the artificially high burden of proof you impose on opposing points of view.
If you wanna challenge a claim it is one thing, but demanding a link is something else.
In demanding a link for every statement or claim you disagree with,
you are the one making this harder then it needs to be by disingenuously and illogically raising the burden of proof to an absurd level.
Ah I was waiting for the ad homenim...
So...you intentionally chose to use an ad homenim argument?
lets get this one right...to me what ever Stanly Kurtz has to say means nothing you can spam it post it 100 times
A: There is no spamming being done by me. You have yet to show any examples that meet the definition of forum spamming.
B: You still haven't shown a logical reason for your irrational disregard of Kurtz. If you are going to hold that position, even in the face of the fact that it is a fallacious and invalid reason to disregard Kurtz, then it is obvious that you cannot be reasoned with and expected to hold a rational discussion.
So, you will disregard Kurtz for ad homenim reasons, but you won't disregard
Slate?! Slate has been shown to be very biased in there reporting; cherry picking information and what not. This article you cite is a prime example. It is very apparent you have an unjustifiable double standard here.
The claims in the article you cite are fully explainable by Kurtz from the article I cited.
Here is what Kurtz said:
Drawing on Spedale, Sullivan and Eskridge cite evidence that since then [Denmark legalizing gay marriage in 1989], marriage has strengthened. Spedale reported that in the six years following the establishment of registered partnerships in Denmark (1990-1996), heterosexual marriage rates climbed by 10 percent, while heterosexual divorce rates declined by 12 percent.
Yet the half-page statistical analysis of heterosexual marriage in Darren Spedale's unpublished paper doesn't begin to get at the truth about the decline of marriage in Scandinavia during the nineties. Scandinavian marriage is now so weak that statistics on marriage and divorce no longer mean what they used to.
It's true that in Denmark, as elsewhere in Scandinavia, divorce numbers looked better in the nineties. But that's because the pool of married people has been shrinking for some time. You can't divorce without first getting married. Moreover, a closer look at Danish divorce in the post-gay marriage decade reveals disturbing trends. Many Danes have stopped holding off divorce until their kids are grown. And Denmark in the nineties saw a 25 percent increase in cohabiting couples with children. With fewer parents marrying, what used to show up in statistical tables as early divorce is now the unrecorded breakup of a cohabiting couple with children.
What about Spedale's report that the Danish marriage rate increased 10 percent from 1990 to 1996? Again, the news only appears to be good. First, there is no trend. Eurostat's just-released marriage rates for 2001 show declines in Sweden and Denmark (Norway hasn't reported). Second, marriage statistics in societies with very low rates (Sweden registered the lowest marriage rate in recorded history in 1997) must be carefully parsed. In his study of the Norwegian family in the nineties, for example, Christer Hyggen shows that a small increase in Norway's marriage rate over the past decade has more to do with the institution's decline than with any renaissance. Much of the increase in Norway's marriage rate is driven by older couples "catching up." These couples belong to the first generation that accepts rearing the first born child out of wedlock. As they bear second children, some finally get married. (And even this tendency to marry at the birth of a second child is weakening.) As for the rest of the increase in the Norwegian marriage rate, it is largely attributable to remarriage among the large number of divorced.
Spedale's report of lower divorce rates and higher marriage rates in post-gay marriage Denmark is thus misleading. Marriage is now so weak in Scandinavia that shifts in these rates no longer mean what they would in America. In Scandinavian demography, what counts is the out-of-wedlock birthrate, and the family dissolution rate.
The family dissolution rate is different from the divorce rate. Because so many Scandinavians now rear children outside of marriage, divorce rates are unreliable measures of family weakness. Instead, we need to know the rate at which parents (married or not) split up. Precise statistics on family dissolution are unfortunately rare. Yet the studies that have been done show that throughout Scandinavia (and the West) cohabiting couples with children break up at two to three times the rate of married parents. So rising rates of cohabitation and out-of-wedlock birth stand as proxy for rising rates of family dissolution.
By that measure, Scandinavian family dissolution has only been worsening. Between 1990 and 2000, Norway's out-of-wedlock birthrate rose from 39 to 50 percent, while Sweden's rose from 47 to 55 percent. In Denmark out-of-wedlock births stayed level during the nineties (beginning at 46 percent and ending at 45 percent). But the leveling off seems to be a function of a slight increase in fertility among older couples, who marry only after multiple births (if they don't break up first). That shift masks the 25 percent increase during the nineties in cohabitation and unmarried parenthood among Danish couples (many of them young). About 60 percent of first born children in Denmark now have unmarried parents. The rise of fragile families based on cohabitation and out-of-wedlock childbearing means that during the nineties, the total rate of family dissolution in Scandinavia significantly increased.
The Slate article doesn't account for the unique circumstances in these countries. It effectively takes the statistics out of context and, by implication, places them in the context of American society and societal norms.
Kurtz makes an effort to place the statistics in the context of the country from where the statistics are from. Now who is showing a lack of intellectual integrity; Kurtz or Slate?
The Slate article is also vague on where it is getting its statistics from, while Kurtz spells out in the article where his info comes from. By your own standard of demanding a source be cited for a claim (usually in the form of a link), Slate is discredited and Kurtz is not.
It is also rather apparent that Slate is cherry picking it's info. Slate is intentionally taking stats out of context, and only citing cherry picked stats to paint a picture that fits their agenda. Not empirically drawing a conclusion based on an full and accurate representation of the facts in context. Kurtz, on the other hand appears to be doing just that.
I see this as an Opinion just like the LA Times article no facts just Opinion.
If both are substance-less opinions, as you imply, then why even cite the LA Times op-ed? It has no substance. This further strengthens the impression of an unjustified double standard on your part.
The view I spelled out is very logically connected and based on facts (in context and accurately represented).
It also nullifies and dispels your claim that there is no logical connection between gay marriage and marriage becoming outdated.
Now this is a cheap shot your better then this Shag...
It wasn't a cheap shot. It was an appeal to your intellectual integrity (and by extension, your character) to stop making fallacious arguments.
However, unless you are being facetious (and I am willing to give you the benefit of the doubt on that one), your continued seemingly intentional and habitual use of fallacious arguments and reasoning is suggesting that you have no intellectual integrity to appeal to, at least in the area of gay marriage.
FYI; that is not a cheap shot. That is a reasonable conclusion drawn from the actions you have taken in this thread.
Fossten is correct in characterizing my pointing out of fallacious arguments as an attempt to keep people honest and make for a better and more reasonable debate. I don't think that most people make fallacious arguments intentionally; it is simply an easy trap to fall into, myself included. When you realize what arguments are fallacious and what to watch out for, you can make better arguments.
When people continue making the same argument after it has been shown to be fallacious and invalid, I start to think they are making it intentionally and have a total disregard for the fallacious nature of their arguments. This suggests to me that they lack intellectual integrity.
Your intentional and habitual disregard of Kurtz due solely to ad homenim reasoning, and your continued attempts to shift or obfuscate the burden of proof fall under that view, at the moment.
Again this is not your ball to run with its halo001 he made the statement he didn't even provide the link...I did, and its old and there is no facts just one man's Opinion.
So I can't inject myself into your debate with halo001, but you can inject yourself into the debate between myself and hrmwrm; as you did in post number 160 (which was the same post you responded to halo001 in)? Another unjustified double standard, it seems.
FYI; halo001's quote from that article
did provide a fact. he responded to your question of "Do you have any proof ? What percent of marriages are held in a church?" with the quote of, ""All of this in a nation where 74 percent of marriages still occur in church," pondered syndicated New York Times ethics and religion columnist Mike McManus."
He provided all he needed to. Your response was to ignore the fact he provided and refuse to acknowledge it. you simply chose to fallaciously raise the burden of proof to an absurd level by saying, "Its ten years old and nothing there to back up the claim keep looking." The fact that it is ten years old doesn't discredit it, and you are trying to shift the burden of proof to an absurd level.
Yet you cite a Slate article that cites statistics for over ten years ago (at points) as well as not citing the study(s) from where they got there information. But when Kurtz
does meet the burden of proof you made up to counter halo001's fact, you disregard him in favor of an article that can't meet your burden of proof.
It is rather obvious that you just disingenuously and intentionally chose to fallaciously raise the burden of proof on halo001 so you could disregard it because you didn't
want to accept it. You did the same thing with Kurtz but don't hold any article
you cite to the same standard.
I enjoy reading your thoughts and ideas, it gives me food for thought and I thank you for it
It's what I am here for...