Happened to me A LOT a couple years ago. Went through four driers in one winter! Long story short - Mark VIII and big puddles do not mix. Years later the intake for the compressor still was flooded with water. So when the compressor ran, it saturated the dryer quickly.
Now in winter a saturated dryer will not let air through easily, but the nature of silica is that some will. Unfortunately you can reach a breaking point and the first point of failure is where the dryer and compressor mate. Only two small tabs old it in place. If you lucky it will still pump up, just very slowly, even with a major breach.
So I am guessing saturated dryer, ESPECIALLY if you have a spyder valve. It does not blow back through drier to expel water, so it builds up. Then you have a few days of freezing and stress and eventually - snap. In my case I had more water than normal of course.
I was told a newer design in the dryer made the tabs stronger, but I have yet to see this better design.
Go thing is that its a pretty easy fix. You can do it without taking the compressor out.
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I recommend that everyone once a year take the dryer out and dump the silica onto a pan and place in over to dry it out. I do it just before winter now every year even though my system is dry. The beads are still a little wet.